The further rebound of CPI in the United States is in line with market expectations. The annual rate of CPI in the United States in November was 2.7%, which was expected to be 2.7% and the previous value was 2.60%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly CPI rate is 0.3%, expected 0.3%, and the previous value is 0.20%. The annual rate of core CPI in the United States in November was not seasonally adjusted to 3.3%, which was expected to be 3.3% and the previous value was 3.30%. After seasonal adjustment, the monthly rate of core CPI is 0.3%, the expected rate is 0.30%, and the previous value is 0.30%.Institution: The global rapeseed production reduction made the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supported the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Chaotic Tiancheng Futures said that the excessive rapeseed import in the fourth quarter had supply pressure, the demand side was in the traditional consumption peak season and the low price difference between soybean oil and vegetable oil was conducive to vegetable oil consumption, which had short-term bottom support for vegetable oil. In the long run, the global rapeseed production reduction makes the vegetable oil inventory decrease year-on-year, which supports the vegetable oil in Yuanyue. Nanhua futures believes that, on the whole, the supply sources and channels of vegetable oil are gradually weakened by the restrictions on rapeseed imports. At present, due to the excellent cost performance of soybean oil at the consumer end, vegetable oil will not consider the extra increment caused by the market competition between oils and fats except the seasonal increase in consumption in the short term. However, since the subsequent inventory of vegetable oil is still fluctuating at a high level, considering the possibility of seeking demand from the competitive price of soybean oil, there will be a clear reverse correlation between the subsequent inventory and consumption of vegetable oil, while the supply consideration is relatively constant and inflexible.Report: In 2024, the revenue of e-sports industry in China exceeded 27.5 billion yuan. According to the 2024 China E-sports Industry Report released on the 11th, the number of e-sports users in China reached 490 million in 2024, up by 0.42% year-on-year. The actual sales revenue of e-sports industry has reached 27.568 billion yuan, up 4.62% year-on-year.
Blonde Technology: Shareholders holding more than 5% of the shares plan to transfer 2% of the shares internally. Blonde Technology announced that as of the announcement date, Ms. Xiong Haitao, a shareholder, holds 122 million shares of the company, accounting for 4.64% of the company's total share capital; Ms. Xiong Haitao and her concerted actions hold a total of 216 million shares, accounting for 8.2% of the total share capital. Ms. Xiong Haitao plans to sign an agreement with Warburg Wanying Private Equity Fund to increase it as a concerted action, and plans to transfer no more than 52.73 million shares to it through block trading, that is, no more than 2% of the total share capital. After the transfer is completed, Huabao Wanying will entrust Ms. Xiong Haitao with the right to vote on the shares. This internal transfer does not involve market reduction, and the shareholding ratio remains unchanged, which does not affect the company's control.Albertson shares rose 1.6% before the market closed.OPEC Monthly Report: The recent steady economic growth trend is still continuing. The OPEC Monthly Report points out that in recent months, the steady economic growth trend is still continuing, especially in the United States, Brazil and Russia. In addition, China's stimulus measures and India's sustained growth momentum have contributed to supporting global economic growth. With these developments, the global economic growth in 2024 is expected to be 3.1%. The strong economic growth momentum is expected to continue until 2025 and is expected to reach 3.0%. However, the healthy growth observed in the United States during 2024 is expected to slow down slightly in 2025. However, the current growth forecast may be affected by the potential new policy measures being discussed by the incoming US government, such as trade tariffs, which will also affect the growth of US trading partner economies. In the euro zone, the recovery will continue gradually in the third quarter of 2024, but the improvement in the fourth quarter and 2025 is expected to be limited. Japan is expected to rebound in the second half of 2024 and continue until 2025, after a challenging period.
Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.Blonde Technology: Shareholders holding more than 5% of the shares plan to transfer 2% of the shares internally. Blonde Technology announced that as of the announcement date, Ms. Xiong Haitao, a shareholder, holds 122 million shares of the company, accounting for 4.64% of the company's total share capital; Ms. Xiong Haitao and her concerted actions hold a total of 216 million shares, accounting for 8.2% of the total share capital. Ms. Xiong Haitao plans to sign an agreement with Warburg Wanying Private Equity Fund to increase it as a concerted action, and plans to transfer no more than 52.73 million shares to it through block trading, that is, no more than 2% of the total share capital. After the transfer is completed, Huabao Wanying will entrust Ms. Xiong Haitao with the right to vote on the shares. This internal transfer does not involve market reduction, and the shareholding ratio remains unchanged, which does not affect the company's control.German Chancellor Angela Scholz submitted an application for a vote of confidence, and German Chancellor Angela Scholz sent a request to Parliament on Wednesday to hold a vote of confidence on December 16th, thus paving the way for early federal elections next year. Since the collapse of the coalition of political parties led by Scholz, the policy-making in Europe's largest economy has basically stagnated. If, as expected, Scholz loses the vote of confidence, he must ask the President to dissolve Parliament and hold a new election. Scholz and the opposition parties unanimously agreed to hold a general election on February 23rd next year. Last week, French Prime Minister Banier lost in a vote of no confidence, which highlighted the unusual political instability faced by these two European powers.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13